JD Vance: The GOP’s Betting Ticket for 2028
According to the data‑savvy analyst Harry Enten—who’s arguably the only sane voice on CNN—JD Vance is practically guaranteed to dodge the crazy crowd and clinch the GOP nomination.
Why Vance Is the Meme‑Machine
- Statistical Rock: Enten says Vance’s numbers line up like a well‑stacked deck of cards—no surprises.
- Old‑School Squash: He’s the man who doesn’t get lost shouting on TDS—where the live‑action fumbles the rest of us.
- Now or Never: 2028’s the notch on the timeline: Vance is dialing in, and the field is still looking for an answer.
“Shoe in” Explained
When people call him the “shoe in”, they mean he’s a step ahead, a guaranteed winner in the race. That’s not just jazz hand—it’s real data that says the odds are high.
Takeaway
If you’re playing the 2028 GOP lottery, you might want to treat JD Vance as the one person you’re pretty sure the money’s going to hit hard on, say nothing but the proven numbers.—And remember, by the time the dust settles, you’ll probably be cheering without feeling the need to shout into the TDS ruckus.
JD Vance: The Unlikely Rise of an Ohio‑Born Maverick
When Hollywood documentary Wackiest Polls of the Century came out, no one predicted JD Vance would sprint ahead on the GOP ballot. But according to Harry Enten, the polling gods are pointing fingers in his direction.
Early Numbers, Later Victory?
- Vance leads the pack with 40 % in the early GOP race.
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis sits ducking in the single‑digits.
- Donald Trump Jr. is also stuck around 7 %.
Enten taps a classic quip from Larry David: “Pretty, pretty good!” that’s how he describes Vance’s odds.
History’s Candlelight Verdict
Using data from 1980 onward, Enten points out that 63 % of early poll leaders actually become the nominee—all 5 recent Southern‑American vice presidents (Nixon, Humphrey, Bush Sr., Gore, Harris) won the race. That’s a shy 95 % whenever President Trump backs a candidate.
“If Trump throws his weight behind Vance, you can expect the 2028 GOP field to crumble—this is a closing curtain.”
The Trump Connection
Trump himself announced Tuesday that Vance and Marco Rubio could form a “weight‑lifting duo” for the 2028 ticket. The murmur on social media: “MAGA’s heir apparent? JD Vance. The VP? Maybe Rubio.” Excerpts from Twitter are mostly just bold screenshots—no direct links allowed.
Why the Buzz Is Real
Enten’s formula is simple:
- Early poll leader ⇒ >50 % chance of nominating.
- Arguably, Vance’s 40 % plus the Trump endorsement pushes the probability close to the 95‑% threshold.
- Any former vice‑presidential run is a “blue‑print” for success.
Bottom Line
It’s 2025 in the headlines: JD Vance’s early surge, a heavy‑handed Trump endorsement, and a swing at the GOP top spot—all signal a high likelihood that Vance will carry the flag into the 2028 primaries. In the world of politics, the numbers are telling, and the story is already writing itself.