Tag: Andrew

  • Trump Promises Americans a Share of Tariff Revenue Dividends

    Trump Promises Americans a Share of Tariff Revenue Dividends

    Trump Teases a Dividend Party for Mid‑Income Americans

    Picture this: a bustling “tariff‑pool” where every dollar collected gets a chance to jump into a cash‑box and get passed along to people who actually need a little extra in their pocket. That’s the gist of what President Donald Trump said on Sunday.

    What’s the Deal?

    • Instead of letting tariffs sit in a cold, empty vault, the top brass might “distribute dividends” from those revenues.
    • Targeted at folks hitting certain income thresholds—think families who’re earning above the median but still feel the pinch.
    • So, if your paycheck is somewhere in the “you’re not a billionaire but you’re not a broke kid either” zone, you could get a little extra cash in return for the tariffs you help fund.

    Why It Might Make Sense

    Trump’s idea isn’t just about financial finesse—he’s tapping into the old “you pay for a service, you get a reward” spirit. By turning tariff revenue into a community dividend, the administration could sweeten the deal for voters who want to see tangible benefits from trade policy.

    Potential Pitfalls
    • Logistics: figuring out who qualifies and how the money gets transferred.
    • Political pushback: opponents might argue it’s a tax hack or a loophole.
    • Economic impact: large scale redistribution could affect businesses that rely on tariff revenue.

    All in all, it’s a headline‑grabber strategy that could add a dash of excitement to the bargain‑talk on trade, while keeping the message simple: “Your tariffs could pay you to keep you thriving.”

    Trump Talks Dividends, Drug Prices & Tariffs at the White House

    On July 22, 2025, President Donald Trump slipped into a White‑House reception with a pack of Republican lawmakers, moments before boarding Air Force One. He was ready to spill some of his latest plans and hit the headlines.

    “Dividend‑town” on the horizon?

    According to the president, the Treasury is flush with cash – more than any other country in history, he claimed – and that could mean a payout for everyday folks. In plain English:

    • “We have a lot of money coming in, much more money than the country has ever seen, by hundreds of billions of dollars,” Trump boasted.
    • “There could be a distribution for dividends to the people of our country. I would say for people that would be middle‑income people and lower‑income people, we could do a dividend.”

    While he left the actual figure as a mystery, the potential of a “dividend” feels more like a policy holiday than a fiscal policy.

    Drug Prices: The Trump Promise

    Keep your prescriptions handy because the president promised a dramatic price drop that starts in the next two to three months. “We’ll be dropping drug prices… by 1,200, 1,300, and even 1,400 percent,” he said, adding that the U.S. would “pay as low as the lowest nation in the world.”

    This plays right into the May 12 executive order that nudges American manufacturers to offer drugs at the most‑favored‑nation lowest price.

    The Tariff Tectonic Plate

    Trade war? Check. Trump’s trade strategy continues to haul in record revenue.

    • July’s tariff receipts hit a monthly high of $28 billion.
    • That has pushed the fiscal year total revenue to over $151 billion.
    • According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, tariff collections could hit $300 billion by year‑end.

    Trump’s approach involves a 10‑percent baseline tariff on nearly all U.S. trading partners—paired with variable reciprocal rates depending on each country’s trade barriers. Between June and August, the administration paused these reciprocal tariffs to allow negotiations, but the pause was extended to allow more breathing room.

    New Reciprocal Tariffs, New Numbers

    On July 31, Trump signed an order imposing new rates—10% to 41% on over 60 partners—effective August 7. The rates depend on whether an agreement has been secured and the depth of those agreements.
    Some partners have “meaningful trade and security commitments,” while others are still behind stiff trade imbalances and don’t align fully with U.S. economic and security interests.

    China: The Long‑Running Negotiation

    As part of the extended deadline through August 12, the U.S. is pushing for a deal with China— last time, the two largest economies agreed to cut tariffs and ease restrictions for a 90‑day window.

    That effort hasn’t yet closed but continues to be a linchpin of U.S. trade strategy.

    So, if you’re hoping for a quick money injection or a collapse of drug prices, keep an eye on how Trump turns those plans into reality—or spin‑them into the next political dance.

  • Rogue employees and personal data breaches – when are employers liable?

    Rogue employees and personal data breaches – when are employers liable?

    It’s every employer’s nightmare.  An employee with a grudge misuses personal data relating to their employer – telling the world about staff salaries by publishing the data on the web, for example.

    Maybe they’ve told the Press too.  ICO investigate.  Staff also find out and sue their employer for damages in the hundreds of thousands if not millions of pounds in a “class action” lawsuit.
    Far fetched? Certainly not – as supermarket chain Morrisons found out recently in a court case that unusually went all the way to the UK Supreme Court.  The Supreme Court ruled in Morrisons’ favour on 1 April but the case has been passing through the courts for several years costing Morrisons one assumes millions in legal fees not to mention management time and disruption.
    In this case Morrisons had deep enough pockets to take the case all the way on appeal and won.  By doing so employers have been given a favour.  The Supreme Court judgement will be closely scrutinised by lawyers defending other businesses who have suffered data breaches due to rogue staff.  But it’s not a get out of jail free card either.
    The background is that in 2014 an employee of Morrisons, Andrew Skelton, intentionally leaked the personal data of thousands of his colleagues.  The data disclosed included employees’ names, addresses, telephone numbers and bank details.    Subsequently he sent the same information to three newspapers.
    One newspaper contacted Morrisons and it took immediate action to remove the online data and to inform the police.  Skelton was imprisoned for 8 years and Morrisons spent over £2.26m dealing with the aftermath of the breach.
    A number of employees brought a claim under the Data Protection Act 1998 (“DPA”) against Morrisons.  Damages were claimed in respect of alleged “distress, anxiety, upset and damage” caused by the data breaches. The High Court held that Morrisons was not primarily responsible for the breaches but they were nevertheless vicariously liable on the basis that there was a sufficient connection between Skelton’s role as an employee and his conduct.
    Vicarious liability is where an employer can be liable for the wrongdoing of its employee.  This can happen where there is a sufficiently close connection between the person’s employment and their wrongdoing.
    Morrisons appealed on two grounds:-

    That Skelton did not act in the course of his employment when he committed the data breaches so there could be no vicarious liability – he had uploaded and shared the personal data in his own time in pursuit of a personal grudge; and
    A more technical legal ground that the DPA excluded any scope for liability on an employer for wrongful processing of personal data by an employee and therefore it was implicit that there could not be any vicarious liability.

    The Court of Appeal upheld the decision of the High Court and Morrisons appealed to the Supreme Court.
    The Supreme Court unanimously held that Skelton did not act in the ordinary course of his employment and that it would be unfair and improper to hold otherwise.  The fact that his employment gave him the opportunity to commit wrongdoing was not sufficient to make Morrisons vicariously liable.  An employer would not usually be vicariously liable where the employee is pursuing a personal grudge outside their field of activities for the employer rather than pursuing their employer’s business.
    Whilst this meant Morrisons won, the Court did not conclude that the DPA itself excludes vicarious liability. This is an important caveat, because it does leave the door open for such claims to be brought in the future.
    Nevertheless the judgement does provide some comfort to employers as they are unlikely to be held vicariously liable for rogue data breaches committed by their employees in their own time for purely personal reasons with malicious intent.  However a closer connection with Skelton’s work could have led to a different result.  It all depends on the facts – here they were in Morrisons’ favour.
    To minimise the risk of data breaches and to protect their organisation, employers need to train staff on data protection and ensure awareness of the law and their staff’s responsibilities for compliance.  This is an ongoing requirement and needs regular refreshing.
    Employers also need to have clear and up-to-date internal and staff privacy policies and privacy notices that comply with the GDPR.  In addition they need to ensure personal data is secure and protected (e.g. by password protecting and encrypting files) and accessed only on a strict need to know basis with its distribution monitored where possible.
    Whilst the Morrisons case was brought under the Data Protection Act 1998 (the law applicable at the time) the increased responsibilities and sanctions on employers under the GDPR make data protection compliance even more important for employers.

  • In Live CNBC Audition, Jefferies' Zervos Says Fed Not Independent, Powell Left-Leaning

    In Live CNBC Audition, Jefferies' Zervos Says Fed Not Independent, Powell Left-Leaning

    David Zervos, the Chief Market Strategist at Jefferies, has garnered significant attention as a potential candidate for the role of Federal Reserve Chair, amid increasing activity on prediction markets. 

    This morning he placed his flag firmly in the ground as a front-runner and most assuredly got President Trump’s attention when he said during a CNBC interview that it’s inaccurate to describe the US central bank as independent, and moreover, ‘Wall Street Jesus’ (as he has been called given his hirsute characteristics) described the outgoing Fed chief as aligned with the political left.

    “The Fed has never been independent, and the political pressures on the Fed have always been growing and continue to grow,” Zervos said on CNBC.

    He then went further:

    “I think he’s actually quite a bit dependent,” Zervos said of Powell.

    “He’s operating politically from the left. Or, let’s put it this way, from the anti-Trump side.”

    He highlighted pressure from Democratic lawmakers in recent years on monetary policymakers to lower interest rates.

    History features episodes of Treasury secretaries and administrations “behind the scenes” trying to influence Fed chairs, Zervos also said.

    Watch the full exchange here (with Andrew Ross Sorkin unable to contain his own ‘independence’)…

    The Jefferies strategist is no stranger to the limelight as some may remember he refused to cut his hair until Fed Chair Powell cut interest rates

    …which he did in 2019…

    After which appears to have discovered Ozempic (picture here with Kellyanne Conway who he reportedly dated for a time)…

    Zervos’ odds are on the rise across prediction markets with PolyMarket seeing a big spike yesterday and now Zervos is up to the 3rd place…

    Zervos also repeated his argument that the steady contraction of the Fed’s balance sheet in recent years has left monetary policy more restrictive than many perceive – adding to the case for lowering rates.

    “You’re left now with rates at a much more restrictive rate, without that extra kicker from the balance sheet,” Zervos said.

    “So we really need to get rates back toward a more neutral level.”

    Music to President Trump’s ears…

    Professional subscribers can read David’s full recent notes here…

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