US envoy Keith Kellogg is reportedly due to travel to Minsk to discuss Russia’s war in Ukraine with Belarus President Aliaksandr Lukashenka.
Belarus, Trump’s New Playground? Or Just a Chaotic Mix‑n‑Match of Politics?
The Unlikely Cast
Picture this: exiled Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, a beacon of democratic hope in Belarus, spills the beans on President Aliaksandr Lukashenka. “He’s a complete rotten pipe,” she says, reflecting, “trust? Absolutely not.”
At the same time, Keith Kellogg—the former “advisor to Trump” who’s dodged both headlines and a few legalities—has set the stage to swing by Minsk. The rumor mill whispers a secret meeting between him and President Lukashenka, with the quiet aim of nudging Russia’s Ukraine invasion to a “less lethal” status.
Why the Drama?
- Exiled Leader Speak‑Off – Tsikhanouskaya’s barbs are a stern warning to any hawker seeking legitimacy.
- Kellogg’s Diplomatic Gambit – A side‑by‑side show of power‑players attempting to line up for a peace talk that may or may not function.
- Lukashenka’s Mysterious Agenda – The authoritarian leader might be hoping to pad his prestige (or just get an absurd new souvenir from Trump).
The Potential Outcomes (And Their Likelihood)
- Peace Talks Breathe – Could spark dialogue with Russia and open a new avenue for Ukraine’s relief.
- Diplomatic Debacle – Risk of an awkward meeting that ends in embarrassment and extra headline fodder.
- National Pride Boost – Lukashenka could claim bragging rights for hosting a ex‑US advisor.
Bottom Line
This trio—an exiled democratic frontwoman, a vacation‑planned ex‑power broker, and a controversial autocrat—creates a potent cocktail of conflict, ambitions, and a dash of satire. Will Belarus finally see the light? Only time will tell. In the meantime, we’re stuck watching the drama unfold like a drama series with politicians starring as the lead roles—with no plot twist guaranteed.

Belarus Gets Excluded From Ukraine Talks – Lukashenka’s Got the Badge Of Evil
TL;DR: The latest round of talks between Moscow and Kyiv didn’t change a thing. Meanwhile, Belarus—led by the 31‑year‑old monarch Alexei Lukashenka—is officially out of the negotiation lineup because, as the headline says, he’s “part of the war.”
Round Two and No Progress
So, the war’s been raging for four years, and Russia and Ukraine have pulled a couple of talks aside with Moscow trying to negotiate a ceasefire. It’s all been a flop. Even after the second round, the finger on the halt-fire button remains stuck in the “no” position.
Why Belarus Kicked Aside From the Conversation
- “They’re not a land for negotiations” – that’s the line the Belarus opposition leader, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, delivered last Wednesday.
- Her big point? Lukashenka’s not just a sidekick; he’s an “aggressor” in his own right, and the Russian war is basically his playground in the second half of the year.
- “We’re not trusting the guy,” she told Euronews, evidencing why Minsk does not want a seat at the table.
- He’s “just playing Putin’s game” – and that’s a bitter pill for anyone hoping for peace.
Cracking the Smuggling Facade
Behind the headlines, there’s a less glamorous side: Lukashenka’s Belarus turns into a production hub for Russian weapons. With sanctions on Belarus, the financial motive turns into a windfall for the regime.
Like a shady logistics company funneling weapons to the battlefield, the Belarusian government thrives while sanctions drag on. This, Tsikhanouskaya’s bluntly put, means Lukashenka hates peace just because it hurts his ticket sales.
And Lukashenka’s “Importance” Deal
“He thinks he’s indispensable,” Tsikhanouskaya said. “If you slice him off, nothing changes. He’s just coating the bigger picture—no independent moves here.”
West’s Calm (or Not) on Belarus
- The West slapped sanctions on Belarus for backing Russia + for sending fake elections in 2020 and again in January.
- Whistleblowers and international observers crowd-sourced that Lukashenka’s 2020 win was a sham poll.
- Despite this, Minsk and Moscow keep blowing off the accusations.
- Lukashenka remains a stalwart of Europe’s longest-running regime – 31 years with the same crown.
Behind the Scenes with Tsikhanouskaya
Here’s the drama: rising opposition leader Tsikhanouskaya challenged Lukashenka in the election that was “wronged” back when the country was in 2020. Had her been elected, the 31‑year‑old could have been forced into a new political era.
She was forced out, and the smears began. Her story is a classic whistle‑tear for democratic vibes amid authoritarian backlashes.
Bottom Line – No More Belarus in War Negotiations
Preparing for peace out loud, the political vibes are clear: Lukashenka’s Belarus not only fuels the war but serves as a war‑money machine. So, the West moving on, and the politicians jumping seat, is essentially: Kiev, Moscow, no Belarus. That’s the current plan for a war‑free future. Thanks!
Rocky US-Belarus relations
Back‑to‑Back Diplomacy: US Gets Cozy with Belarus in a Twist of Fate
Picture this: It’s early 2020, the first Trump years, and the Secretary of State—yes, Men‑In‑… Pompeo—makes a grand entrance in Belarus, the very first US envoy to the Milinkian capital in more than twenty years.
Washington’s Mood Rings: From Cheer to Chill
Fast forward to 2021 and a brand‑new president—Joe Biden—steps into the White House. And you guessed it: the U.S. and Minsk’s relationship goes from “friendly vibes” to “yikes, this is cold.” The aftermath of Russia’s Ukraine invasion – cue the electric mood – gets the U.S. to shut down its embassy in Minsk by February 2022.
Guess Who’s Trying to Re‑warm the Deal?
Now, with Trump back at the helm, the United States appears to be playing “matchmaker” with Belarus again. In February, a flotilla of U.S. officials swooped into Belarus, not for trade talks but to rescue three political prisoners. The New York Times picked up this drama and had readers gasp.
Fast‑forward to April, Belarus releases Yuriy Zianokovich—a U.S. citizen who’s been on the brink of a suspected plot to take out the seemingly immortal leader. Washington and his backers have long claimed the charges were a hoax, but now he’s back on free‑ways and actually breathing.
Regional Drama on the Stage
- Belarus’ president Lukashenko gets swearing‑in rights again—despite a chorus of “You have no future” from critics.
- Opposition stalwart Alexandra Tsikhanouskaya keeps sounding the alarm: the regime change is “just a matter of time.”
EU’s Hot Take on the Russian Threat
The European Union’s foreign policy tight‑knit released a warning about Russia’s long‑term aggression plan during a press event. They pointed out that Russia’s heavy defence spending signals a “long‑term plan for long‑term aggression.”
Then, in an earlier chat with Euronews, Tsikhanouskaya threw a love‑letter at the Balkan jaw‑benders: the big joint drill between Russia and Belarus—typically called Zapad 2025—could be a direct threat to NATO’s eastern edge. She grabbed the microphone and said, “Don’t forget the last military drills in Belarus ended with the attack on Ukraine.” These maneuvers could hit directly the border countries’ heads, as they promised.
All in all, this swirling story is a high‑stakes nerve‑tingling game of diplomacy, espionage, and some stone‑throwing. Keep your eyes glued to the headlines—trust me, the next chapter will keep you on the edge of your seat.

